Measuring and Forecasting Volatility in Chinese Stock Market Using HAR-CJ-M Model

نویسندگان

  • Chuangxia Huang
  • Xu Gong
  • Xiaohong Chen
چکیده

and Applied Analysis 3 daily return volatility, while most literatures on RV at present (such as Wang et al. [13] and Corsi [9]) have not taken it into consideration. According to researches of Martens [20] and Koopman et al. [6], considering the overnight return variance, we adjust RV as

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Analysis of Realized Volatility in Tehran Stock Exchange using Heterogeneous Autoregressive Models Approach

Objective: The present study aims atinvestigating the behavior of realized volatility for high-frequency data of Tehran Stock Index from April28th, 2012 to August 8th, 2018. Methods: Three different types of HAR models including of HAR-RV-CJ, HAR-RV and HAR-RVJ were used to analyze the Realized Volatility. Results: The obtained results of three diverse models revealed that the estimated Reali...

متن کامل

Does Decomposing Realized Volatility Help in Risk Measure Prediction: Evidence from Chinese Mainland Stock Market

This paper examines jump dynamic patterns in three Chinese medical stocks. It also compares the Value-at-Risk (VaR) forecasting performance of a newly proposed realized volatility model allowing for jumps with that of two commonly used realized volatility models, which do not account for jumps. Using the Heterogeneous Autoregressive Realized Volatility model that allows for jumps (HAR-CJN), we ...

متن کامل

A Fuzzy Random Walk Technique to Forecasting Volatility of Iran Stock Exchange Index

Study of volatility has been considered by the academics and decision makers dur-ing two last decades. First since the volatility has been a risk criterion it has been used by many decision makers and activists in capital market. Over the years it has been of more importance because of the effect of volatility on economy and capital markets stability for stocks, bonds, and foreign exchange mark...

متن کامل

Has Tehran Stock Market Calmed Down after Global Financial Crisis?Markov Switching GARCH Approach

We have introduced an early warning system for volatility regimes regarding Tehran Stock Exchange using Markov Switching GARCH approach. We have examined whether Tehran Stock Market has calmed down or more specifically, whether the surge in volatility during 2007-2010 global financial crises still affects stock return volatility in Iran.  Doing so, we have used a regime switching GARCH model.  ...

متن کامل

The Contrast of Parametric and Nonparametric Volatility Measurement Based on Chinese Stock Market

Most procedures for modeling and forecasting financial asset return volatilities rely on restrictive and complicated parametric GARCH or stochastic volatility models. The method of realized volatility constructed from high-frequency intraday returns is an alternative choice for volatility measurement. In this paper we make an empirical analysis on Chinese stock index data by using the method of...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

عنوان ژورنال:

دوره   شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2014